JAC Advance Access published online on October 29, 2003
Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy, doi:10.1093/jac/dkg464
© 2003 by The British Society for Antimicrobial Chemotherapy
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Original article
1 Clinical and Molecular
Epidemiology Unit and Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine
Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina
School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110; Biomathematics Unit, University of Thessaly School
of Medicine, Larissa 41222, Greece;
* Corresponding author. E-mail: jioannid{at}cc.uoi.gr.
Received 27 February 2003
; revised 13 May 2003
; accepted 1 September 2003
Objectives: To model the relative
role of old and newly introduced antibiotics in shaping increased
antibiotic use. Methods: Grouped data covering nationwide consumption
and expenditure for out-of-hospital antibiotics in Greece (1990-1999)
were used. The antibiotic formulations were categorized into common
old formulations, old formulations with intermittent
sales, recast formulations and new
substances. The effect of each category was investigated
based on index and pricing analyses. Results: We estimated a 143% net increase
in out-of-hospital antibiotic use during 1990-1999. The
increase was 59% when all formulations of antibiotic substances
available by 1990 were considered. A rapid turnaround of formulations
of old substances was noticed with 669 formulations marketed during
the decade. Sixteen new antibiotic substances were first introduced
after 1990 and by 1999 they accounted for 34.9% of total out-of-hospital
antibiotic expenditures. Three new antibiotics (a macrolide and
two cephalosporins) accounted for over 90% of this amount.
For all three, other less expensive alternatives were available. Conclusions: In the studied setting, out-of-hospital
antibiotic use has been expanding in a highly substance-specific
and non-rational fashion that is accelerated by the introduction
of new drugs.
Keywords: antibiotic use, expenditure, model
Modelling of escalating outpatient antibiotic expenditures
2 Clinical and Molecular
Epidemiology Unit and Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine
Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina
School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110; Division of Clinical Care Research, Department of
Medicine, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA 02111,
USA
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